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Old 05-24-2011, 01:59 AM   #1
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Default Ten minutes so you know China's economy sit

This treatise describes the most easy fact the truth about the economy. Will not have any so-called academic prostitutes who used to deceive the people of the esoteric theoretical theories, but also the truth that the innocent, the truth is only one, let us keep their eyes open, the cavity view of what happened today. This story describes the following aspects of China's economic truth.
1, what is economic development? Economic development is simply about money, but the money come from? Money can only be printed. So in the end is what makes non-stop operation of the printing press? Suppose there are 1000 people on an island, insulated, living surrounded people to exchange goods, but sometimes your hand is not necessarily for the exchange of other things you want, how do? So people like to use something in exchange for gold and silver, so the exchange convenient. But gold and silver to be worn, not easy to carry, when the exchange activities between, we found that this thing is too cumbersome, limiting the exchange activities, so in order to solve this problem, think of a way, that is issued by the managers of the island a character , use it to replace gold and silver, so the money seemed. The starting of this note was convertible at any time gold and silver. We are assured, because the money is gold and silver. However, the output of gold and silver on the island is too small, when people exchange activities more frequently, insufficient money, and can only halt the exchange. The consequences of suspension of the exchange is not producing all the things other people want, because meantime other people use,GHD Benefit Straighteners, but the exchange did not go out, to paraphrase the words of the current economic slowdown is a. So we thought of a way to set up a banking house, the banks are all by the banks to issue bank notes, printed notes lend money to people who want to use, then that person money and then returned to the banks. So banks have emerged. The emergence of banks, to ensure a more sustainable exchange activities carried out, we all out of production,GHD IV Salon Straighteners, more and more things on the island, the number of banks in agreement with the production, stop printing money to ensure that the exchange can be behaved more in-depth . Activity was more frequent exchange of people, and a few banks, so there have been many banks, there must be a pipe banks in it, then specify the management of other banks, a banking house, and the money can only be printed by the banks of this, and then Other banks who lend money, so the central bank also appeared.
2, what is foreign trade? One day on the island who contrived the canoe, so he ran around ship and found another island, that some people above, there are notes, so the island like their own activities. But they produce many things on the island, the island produced something less, a dollar can buy in their own island, 1 kg of rice, the island's only a dollar to buy half a jin of rice, so the appended money to the island When to buy the island for only 2 yuan 1 yuan Caixing. So the exchange rate has emerged. Considered a good rate, they began trading with each other things to each other on the island, which is foreign trade. Foreign trade enriched people's life and product needs, so that exchange activity to an unprecedented climax.
3, what is inflation? As the isle also many products namely can not accurately estimate how many money in the end the issue, issuing more time, because there are so many products apt buy, product prices began to issue fewer then began to slit prices In mandate to ensure price reliability, the central bank requires all banks make money on the portion of the chief bank which is accustom to adjust product prices, along to the price position and less accessory location. This is the deposit keep percentage. But some smart folk how to begin their own hands to get the money, he elected up a stone in the sea, mentioning namely the merit of 100 million dollars stones, sold it to a person, this person meditation that the whole island money 100 million with no increase, ah, how to do, so to moneylenders, banks are no so much money, so the typography press opened, published the 100 million loaned he bought the stone. This person then began to sell the stones, sold 100 million second person, as the first stone of the folk to cost money to sell, so the island's extra money, so you tin raise the millions, selling more products to more than With. But this stone to the transmit of 200 million, when banks only and published 100 million bank memoranda, so the more money the more Indian, merely when the stone kept the flow of convey, the more money we do no meditation the island , for product prices alternatively the aboriginal. But when the stone does not stream or rotation is slow, you think more money, yet if and when the person holds a stone darted into the sea it, it equal to nought out of the island more than 100 million to N, how do , the central bank's most fearful of is the Fengyun stone worked. It is not the island product prices ambition soar, ambition inflation. Then the person who held kidnapped stones in the island's economic.
4, house prices could kidnap the Chinese economy? China's real estate has made a lot of China's central bank issued RMB, and if house prices fall, is equivalent to that stone dropped into the sea, so much money to print out the price of Chinese products will soar, inflation will be severe. Prices and stones appear to have no coherent, but their properties are the same, that is, a serious departure from the price and value. In fact the biggest victims of the collapse of real estate is not China's commercial banks, but the all Chinese economy. Why did not slow down housing prices, not cut corners, if you really want to drop prices, just a decree, the real estate prices will collapse overnight. But who can bear the consequences of serious inflation, who is responsible? Real estate industry has kidnapped the Chinese economy is no mistrust, is the objective reality, no one can alteration. No stuff who is genuine and Ye Hao, corruption, it is all hope of social harmony, but this is a difficult problem.
5, house prices and inflation related? Can be more difficult problem is more here. If the lower prices, faced with inflation quickly, do not drop prices, then the face is more inflation, what next? So the most reliable way is to stabilize housing prices, and then increases in the social product, reduce the sum of money supply, coupled with other policies such as raising interest rates, increase in commercial bank reserve ratio, reducing the size of credit and other help to the Chinese economy to a soft landing, which is the best way, we see all the law is also this logic. Do not believe it, can retard what the real estate industry in recent years issued a sequence of control fathom. But why the soaring house prices and more unstable it? Is the game developer and it? Tell you that no one in China and lusty words, the developer of several big belly is not the point of strength. Is really a black hand behind the scenes in China and another game, this is the black hands of foreign capital, imperialism, represented by the United States to catch people's blood and sweat of the black hand of China.
6, what is the driving force after rising prices? The power to make a lot of housing prices, housing prices in its favor is one of the drivers who, for instance: GDP and private interests to place, in order to make money for developers, real estate family that bought a house in the so-called slaves Developers as a merchant, in order to earn high profits is not a cursed thing, but all hikes of life have businessmen, do not want to make there is it? Unless it is a fable. Real estate developers, too, is not how many there are that many of them want to make. According to the statute of value, the price and value when a serious departure, there will be a proclivity to inhibit the power of the customary price return prices, but the real estate industry in China, this law seems to not work is that it overlooks an important reason a reference range of reasons, the Chinese economy itself, if naturally crashed the decree, but the current situation is that there is a force in the maintenance of the real estate prices, that is, prop up the market, then who is to beach up the market? Who in the real estate industry to get mammoth profits out of control person who is propping up the market. Discuss this issue, now look at China's foreign exchange reserves. China's foreign exchange reserves rapidly in recent years a breakthrough by the 1,2 billion trillion, and is growing rapidly, is it the Chinese people work hard, earned it? This does not need testimony, look at China's GDP growth rate, we kas long asforeign exchange reserves significantly greater than the growth rate of GDP growth. Clearly not earned, then in counting to a part of earned, then the so-called International hot money into China market, we must first be converted into yuan, then how can there be so many yuan once it? Only one way is to let the printing presses daytime and night work, and then the money is used for boosting the hot potato of the real estate market is desperate for investment in real estate, when the value of real estate prices down due to deviate from fluctuations, then it is elevated by propping up the market, repeated that, giving the advent that the price have to not deviate from the value of the property. Lead to higher house prices rose more. The developers do, they get to the house will not sell the time, it was the proboscis down, how they will cut prices, if I were you this part of the funds in the operation, not to mention the developer Union, the country is only one developer, the price will come down, no one bought the house such as mold do it? It holds so many high-priced real estate foreign investors to do? Not afraid to kick hands? Not afraid! Why? In the process of capital operation, there is a suckers at the bottom then it is who? Commercial Bank of China, the hot real estate market, first-class liquidity, decline in recent years have not seen anyone signs, put the lend on the profit, why not loans? No cause to clutch loans. Coupled with the sensibilities of Chinese people to buy a house, foreign investment can lightly be passed on to the Gaojiefang Chinese banks and consumers, and even real estate can earn a share of the farmers, foreign investors will lose money do vocational? So house prices have been going up, what will occur?
7, house prices have been going up, developers will smile or cry? Under what circumstances will laugh? Under what circumstances call? Intensive in recent years in China, beneath the control of dozens of gold, prices, or if the horse off the bridle more than the same rush. Putting alongside the time to stop the impetus of rise, at last, is still rising house prices, so we will see more than what housing prices. First of all: the GDP rose above that of China in order to preserve the Not at all times the stone of real estate into the open sea, there are some liquidity, then there would be no inflation occurs. Second: the developer is also in the process earn huge profits. Again: to see that the real estate group will make money, buy a house so-called Are production money! But in the end who is in the process lose it? The money get cracking? If you have a stock of experience will know, if the investment away from the commodity price and value, you lose money is someone else's money, then applied to real estate, that is, people who buy their own families, and now appears to value-added, It was on the mirror, Stronghold, you do not realize it is not you. There is also the true value when prices return to full time, sometimes even to the true value of what was 高价房 hostage investors. Another is the developer! Why do developers must lose money? We all know the ecology of business to make money, make a profit. If the speculation once a businessman never do this commerce, he is making money, but he is not a affair, this does not make sense business practices. Because the nature of business,GHD Pink Limited Edition, so the money earned will continue to expand production in the field can continue to make money to provide. This principle can be seen from the life, the more huge business is always on cry money, due to the greater flow of funds to maintain its expanded reproduction needs. So if house prices return to the real value is that when the day of the collapse of a large number of developers. This is not the will of any person and any deed for the transfer. If you now have fled the real estate arena developer, then Paode Man is the last loser. If you do not escape, pass like a bloom like drumming, and finally got the baton is then set those. There is a saying: Maybe just a different way, just to see who's lucky. But now the developer does not have any signs of losing money, some developers continue to make money, people give money too late. Just because the current prices are still rising, real estate also continued to flow. A huge problem here, so when prices are rising head ah?
8, sitting in a consortium of Wall Street, the office is how they suck blood and perspiration of a planter in China's mountains? Mao said: on behalf of the truce of mankind can be achieved? The conception of equality is right, but it is only imperialist deceive to cheat people fills said and done will all be 2 another things. International consortium through the international hot money into China, the renminbi to increase circulation, and through real possession presumption, China's domestic price level to an unlimited increase, GDP growth once anew be forced to increase the circulation of RMB. Blackhand ruthless international consortium center, two-pronged approach is devised to make China's economy to the hot heat, heat to let the crazy people of every Chinese. We will not to concern almost this process, we look to the hereafter and see the results of this process is like? In additional words, the purpose of the consortium is it? Obviously, the Chinese people are most reluctant to see asset that are most pleased to see the results of the consortium. Be the first hypothesis, such as international hot money in the investment of Chinese real estate staging area afterward the last mad, then get out of difficulty all the successful comprehension of real estate, if the exchange rate of renminbi opposition the dollar by this time to fulfill the highest anticipated the United States, the commute rate is when the hot money to escape need to multiply thevery so often, what happens anybody can think of, all the hot money will flee U.S. dollar overnight and all. Consortium, we will acquire trench full of moat level, the Chinese mall, but money is money that can cover a lot of days,GHD Red Butterfly 2011, the renminbi will become a dream for the Chinese people. This is what most want to see, but likewise most cheerful to see the results of the consortium. Recently the United States continued through political, trade and other method to compel the appreciation of the RMB, and China does not thankful or slow the appreciation of small-scale, distant short of U.S. expectations, this is the exit of the game between China and the U.S.. Appreciation of the renminbi's savage longing to force the United States all too remove! Incidentally, if we actually reached the expected appreciation of the Chinese attribute mall in Japan will be repeated breakdown of the last centenary, the history of 90 years. But at that time will be like Japan, China's economy into a consecutive slump of no return. In this issue of citizen survival and death, it will just do nothing? Even take a step behind in terms of a entirely irresponsible In such cases, because the capital action and too violated the interests of the excellent will desperately counterpulsation. So what variety of China will be the direction to determine this See the afterward section:
9, at about this price and inflation around the game between the parties may choose the mean line I have always believed: extremes encounter, moderation is the solutions to laborious problems left to future generations of our forefathers killer! Since it is a Chinese real estate What is Let's take a look at both sides of the line and kidnapped their own hands the pieces. Main body of the real estate industry developers, so developers worker side, it is vital kidnapped Chinese economy, and that the pivotal point of the Chinese economy who is it? The crucial point of the Chinese people, on behalf of the Chinese people, can only be in China. One calculate of China. Foreign investment it? It is to flare the flames were zoned to the developer side. The power of a Fangyou Gong in China, through taxation, finance, economy policy, executive means to force developers to camp, camp by a steady flow of developers to reserve funds to kidnap the Chinese economy, and continuously improve the ransom. Problem has been put in here, how to do it? Rushed to the shot and killed, and that non-criminals intimidated to slay is not too extreme feasible. So likely a prescription, as long as one can achieve a decisive fancy of ​​lower prices, as if shot die, like this is not feasible. Imagine how we retention kidnapping, first to stabilize every other's sensitive lives, and then step by step close, but near to, although this will reason hostility criminals, but will not occasion him intimidated to slay, and then further stabilize mood, and then close, then When conditions are mellow, and then steady Accurate, that is, to ensure the safety of the hostages, but also to ensure that criminals triumphing. This is the real liberate. So moderation is the killer solutions to laborious problems. Extreme, blind, offensive is undesirable. For how to solve the problem of kidnapping of Chinese real estate market, we should focus on a opener part of the problem step along step response force applied, and successful, is the right way. The first key part is the exchange rate, China will strictly control the exchange rate narrations, we can expect that the exchange rate of RMB against the U.S. dollar appreciation will never be too quick, but small appreciation, is to stabilize every other's feelings, and if that does not rise, the other will be turned, if the heave too fast, is to dig their own grave, so why the increase in China's exchange rate is always still holds partial hid, with a look at the viewpoint of the United States how applicable the kidnappers, I want a decanter of beverage, and why used half a bottle of water. What can and can not narrate, at last, being skillful to quench their lust. The second key is to restrict the liquidity of assets, since the real estate to hijack the Chinese economy, that it is major to restrict the liquidity of real estate, you can limit the liquidity of assets, disburse attention to two concepts here, real estate liquidity. The two are completely different, but closely narrated. Weakening real estate liquidity,GHD, reduced liquidity, you need to print yuan to diminish. Just as the stone, does not flow in a moment inflation, price increases circulation without no problem, but does not work, exotic investment does not accede. Since it is often rising price of real estate can only limit the flow step by step, at a time the property less liquidity, inflation will show a mini, and then through the reserve ratio increases and amuse rates and other amenable policies to adjust the point, with willow cotton silk palm to resolve a Tyson punch, just to soft and Keqiang,GHD Straighteners, of crushing the invisible, which is China's tactics (which is like the Chinese do best.) We can see from the side relevant news medium, the property market signing rate is declining, that ebb in liquidity, and prices began to rise, such as pork and other staple edible products, but once the central bank raised the reserve ratio and amuse rates to price stability. I do not know if you look to see some clues. Can be expected that, to entirely resolve the emergency, will continue to raise interest rates and raise the reserve ratio, and liquidity of real estate will become increasingly weak, this prediction is exact in the future central bank policy verification. Such as complete disposal of economic overheating due to inflation expectations, then that is the true value of real estate when prices return. Whether you see do not see, this is the last crazy, we analyzed two ways: first, to alien investors if this game ended in victory, then the Chinese economy continues to ebb further in Japan 90 years into the abyss, as diplomatic restriction, the survival of the pillars of the housing market collapse, prices will plummet, whether it is available when the developer or the people will bear the anguish of economy downturn, the rapid depreciation of the currency held, even if house prices fall, not necessarily buy starting. This is unacceptable and the Chinese people, and it is unacceptable. Second, if foreign investors ended in failure, that is, reserving guard at the exchange rate on exports, so that prices return to the true value, the same set of foreign investment in China, this is the necessity of victory. So the consortium led by the U.S. imperialists who will bite the blood retaliate, in investment, exports and other parties to put oppression on the face of China. Today, we did not meet U.S. expectations of RMB appreciation, China's exports to the United States has led to products subject to oppression, thereby causing a large digit of trade friction, is apparent. We kas long asthe troika of economic evolution is investment, exports and consumption, investment, backup sector retaliation will influence China's economic development, but I trust our development will not affect the speed, do not forget there is a chariot is Ngau Tau engine.
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