HP EliteBook 8440w WZ315UT-

Sounds more like a Zen monk's career path or the arc of a Hollywood thriller than a road map for a technology such as e-books.,Canon Wide Angle EF 35mm f/1.4L USM Autofocus Lens
Each technology starts with a "Technology Trigger" and rides up a "Peak of Inflated Expectations,Sony HVR-S270U," down a "Trough of Disillusionment,Sony HDR-FX1," then up a "Slope of Enlightenment" before reaching a "Plateau of Productivity."

(Credit:
Gartner)
The report also predicts how far the following technologies are from mainstream use:
The report is aimed at IT professionals,HP EliteBook 2740p XT936UT, so what it calls mainstream is really more about business adoption. After all,Sony HDR-XR520V, the report counts activity streams (e.g. Facebook's news feed),Sony NEXVG10 Interchangeable Lens Handycam Camcorder, app stores,Toshiba Tecra R840-S8430, and media tablets as emerging technologies. And it lists tablets as only beginning the slide from hype to disillusionment.
New items on the list this year include 3D bioprinting; social TV; the "Internet of Things" (which involves tying physical things,Sony PDW-F335L, via sensors and embedded computers,Sony Z134GX/B, into the Internet and was called the "real-world Web" in earlier Gartner research); and gamification.

So while this report might be useful for predicting when a business case emerges for adopting a given technology,Canon EF 24-70mm f/2.8L USM Standard Zoom Lens, us gadget freaks might be better served by Bill Buxton's simpler Long Nose theory. The idea is that technologies don't burst onto the scene so much as step into the spotlight after years of development and limited adoption.
A silicone gel ear printed by Cornell University's Hod Lipson and colleagues. 3D bioprinting is on Gartner's futuristic hot-to-trot list.
Follow this theory,Dell Alienware M17x, and you too might be able to spot the next
iPhone. And maybe you'll be able to tell whether it's standing high atop the peak of inflated expectations or plunging into the trough of disillusionment.
Fasten your seat belts. It's a steep drop from hype to disillusionment. (Click to enlarge.)
(Via SmartPlanet)
E-book readers have bottomed out,THINKPAD T400, Internet TV is nearing the peak of inflated expectations,Apple MacBook Pro 2009, location-aware apps have emerged onto the plateau of productivity,Thinkpad w510, and augmented reality is beginning a long slide into the trough of disillusionment.
• Wireless power,Sony HDR-HC9, speech recognition,ThinkPad T420s, media
tablets and QR codes are 2 to 5 years away.
• 3D printing, virtual assistants,hp EB 8460P, augmented reality,Canon Normal EF 50mm f/1.2L USM Autofocus Lens, Internet TV,HP EliteBook 8440w WZ315UT, and contactless payment systems are 5 to 10 years away.
• Brain-computer interfaces,Dell Latitude E4200, mobile robots, human augmentation,ASUS G53JW-3DE, and quantum computing are more than 10 years out.
At least these are the conclusions from the Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies 2011,Apple Macbook Pro MC847LL/A, an annual report from market research firm Gartner that positions emerging technologies on a rather dizzying roller-coaster graph from research and development to mainstream adoption.
(Credit:
Video screenshot by Tim Hornyak/CNET)

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