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Old 08-03-2011, 04:05 PM   #124
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potential surprise function (EO) SHACKLE'S view of EXPECfATIONS that the degree of surprise caused to us by the non-occurrence of a given outcome, assuming there has been no change in our relevant knowledge, is a function of the values of a continuous variable. The function is y = y(x) where y is the degree of potential surprise and x is a continuous variable. Intensities of surprise lie between zero and the maximum intensity when what was believed impossible occurs. One of two hypotheses is more attractive if the potential surprise is nil and has a more desirable content than the other.<br /> <br /><em>Reference</em><br />Shackle, G.LS. (1949) Expectations in Economics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

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